Facebook Is Worthless

Accel Partners, Ben Silverman, Bob Iger, Chris Hughes, David Kirkpatrick, Dustin Moskovitz, Eduardo Saverin, Gerald Levin, Greylock Partners, HBO, Jeff Bewkes, Jeff Zucker, Jill Kennedy, Joanna Shields, Jon Miller, Khan Manka, Li Ka-shing, Manka Bros., Mark Cuban, Mark Zuckerberg, Matt Cohler, MySpace, Nicolas Carlson, OnMedea, Owen Van Natta, Paul Buchheit, Peter Thiel, Rupert Murdoch, Sheryl Sandberg, Sumner Redstone, Toy Story 3

MORE RECENT FACEBOOK POSTS:

Should We Believe Facebook’s Earnings?

Facebook and the Disappearing Valuation (A Fairy Tale)

Facebook Must Be Stopped

Advertise On Facebook – Reach More People Than 10 Super Bowls!

Facebook To Reach 7.3 Billion Users By 2015

————

Original Post (Facebook Is Worthless):

Salacious headline?  Yes.  True?  Also yes.

This is not a slam against the EXTREME popularity and unprecedented GROWTH story that is Facebook.  This is a reality check of an unsustainable business model.

Much like a homeowner who can no longer afford an overinflated house purchased during the height of the bubble and decides to walk away, Facebook (with claims that it will hit ONE BILLION users in the not too distant future) has given it all away for free for far to long to change.

But change it must or Facebook Is Worthless.

Imagine the cable networks at their inception (especially premium channels like HBO) giving the channel to anyone for free at the beginning and then trying to convince customers to pay down the line.  It’s a daunting task.  One that Hulu is going through now – but they made the hard decision, and even though traffic and video streams will certainly fall, it will soon be profitable because it wasn’t too late to right the ship.

Accel Partners, Ben Silverman, Bob Iger, Chris Hughes, David Kirkpatrick, Dustin Moskovitz, Eduardo Saverin, Gerald Levin, Greylock Partners, HBO, Jeff Bewkes, Jeff Zucker, Jill Kennedy, Joanna Shields, Jon Miller, Khan Manka, Li Ka-shing, Manka Bros., Mark Cuban, Mark Zuckerberg, Matt Cohler, MySpace, Nicolas Carlson, OnMedea, Owen Van Natta, Paul Buchheit, Peter Thiel, Rupert Murdoch, Sheryl Sandberg, Sumner Redstone, Toy Story 3Imagine Disney/Pixar putting out Toy Story 3 for free in theaters and trying to make up their costs by throwing up billboards along the walls.  What kind of idiot would do that?  It would never be considered.

People love (and some actually depend on) Facebook, but it is too late to right the ship – and not just because no one cares or pays any attention to the banner ads that are thrown up against everyone’s status updates.  It’s because people are starting to get really bored with it.

There are some late adapters that are still in the ecstasy phase of seeing their old high school friends as they look today (Facebook has ruined surprise factor of high school reunions forever, but I digress), but for the most part – at least in my case – most of my Facebook friends have stopped participating.  They will pop on once a day or so just to see if anyone has posted any new drunken pictures or family photos of the new baby, but that’s about it.

My Facebook experience now is basically the same five people posting the same boring crap.

Accel Partners, Ben Silverman, Bob Iger, Chris Hughes, David Kirkpatrick, Dustin Moskovitz, Eduardo Saverin, Gerald Levin, Greylock Partners, HBO, Jeff Bewkes, Jeff Zucker, Jill Kennedy, Joanna Shields, Jon Miller, Khan Manka, Li Ka-shing, Manka Bros., Mark Cuban, Mark Zuckerberg, Matt Cohler, MySpace, Nicolas Carlson, OnMedea, Owen Van Natta, Paul Buchheit, Peter Thiel, Rupert Murdoch, Sheryl Sandberg, Sumner Redstone, Toy Story 3

The Bored Office Worker who posts about “needing coffee” – and “can’t wait for Happy Hour!”

The Super Mom who claims every morning – “Went to 8 museums adn made banana bread all before 10am!  My kids are awesome and sooooo funny!”

The Quoter who searches quotation websites looking for some daily affirmation that will get about 15 “Likes” and a few “I’m going to use that!” replies.

The Reviewer who writes stuff like “Smoke Monster?  Shit Monster if you ask me!”

The Pissed Off Traveler with daily pearls like “10 hours on the tarmac!” and “Yet another delay, thank you American Airlines!”

And that’s about it.  Every day, the same five people and I have over 300 Facebook friends (even though I only see about three friends actually in person in any given month).

Accel Partners, Ben Silverman, Bob Iger, Chris Hughes, David Kirkpatrick, Dustin Moskovitz, Eduardo Saverin, Gerald Levin, Greylock Partners, HBO, Jeff Bewkes, Jeff Zucker, Jill Kennedy, Joanna Shields, Jon Miller, Khan Manka, Li Ka-shing, Manka Bros., Mark Cuban, Mark Zuckerberg, Matt Cohler, MySpace, Nicolas Carlson, OnMedea, Owen Van Natta, Paul Buchheit, Peter Thiel, Rupert Murdoch, Sheryl Sandberg, Sumner Redstone, Toy Story 3The valuation on Facebook is so high that no one could possibly acquire it now (not even my employer, the insanely deep-pocketed Manka Bros. Studios) especially considering there is really no monetary growth story.

As it becomes more of a digital dumping ground, costs continue to rise.  It has peaked as a global fascination.  Check the value of Bebo, Myspace, Friendster, etc. and you’ll see the future of Facebook.  Even though Mark Zuckerberg claims he’s different than all the others.

So here’s what Facebook needs to do – start charging every current or new user $0.99/month.  Just ninety-nine cents per user per month to use all the features they currently use.  New services may make it possible to bump that up to a premium fee down the line.

Millions will leave and start some “Facebook Should Be Free” movement, but other millions (like my five daily posters who feel they need to be heard) will definitely pay.  Because $0.99 is nothing.  It’s the purchase price of a pig on Farmville.  There will still be advertising and cross-promotional opportunities and corporate sponsorships, etc. – multi revenue streams.

But the free culture has to change or Facebook is Worthless.

Deep down, at least to me, this seems to be the reason the IPO hasn’t happened.  Zuckerberg says he’s not interested and will delay the IPO as long as possible.  Yeah, because it’s a $15 billion company (so they say) with costs that exceed revenue – and no signs of that ever changing.

I wouldn’t be interested in an IPO either.

Someone enlighten me and correct my ignorance.

Accel Partners, Ben Silverman, Bob Iger, Chris Hughes, David Kirkpatrick, Dustin Moskovitz, Eduardo Saverin, Gerald Levin, Greylock Partners, HBO, Jeff Bewkes, Jeff Zucker, Jill Kennedy, Joanna Shields, Jon Miller, Khan Manka, Li Ka-shing, Manka Bros., Mark Cuban, Mark Zuckerberg, Matt Cohler, MySpace, Nicolas Carlson, OnMedea, Owen Van Natta, Paul Buchheit, Peter Thiel, Rupert Murdoch, Sheryl Sandberg, Sumner Redstone, Toy Story 3Jill Kennedy – OnMedea

10 Slideshows You Must See RIGHT NOW!

OK, online media publishers – enough with the freakin’ slideshows!  They’re nothing but a waste of time to those who click through all those pages of The World’s Top 10 Shellfish and the Best Tasting Fruits You’ve Never Tasted.  What’s the real reason for these time suckages?  Page views and ad impressions – the life force of online media (yes, I admit, my humble blog also depends on these metrics).  And what’s the best way to rack up page views and ad impressions?  Slideshows with one image and, on average, three ads per page.  Multiply that by the Top 50 Female Insurance Industry Executives – and you get the idea.

But you didn’t come to this page for my rant against Slideshows – you came to see 10 SLIDESHOWS YOU MUST SEE RIGHT NOW!  Let’s get to it!  (Note: I have mercifully avoided the obvious and did not put this in Slideshow format.)

10 Unbelievable, Unlikely Animal Friendships

10 Slideshows You Must See Right Now, 10 Unbelievable Animal Friendships, 11 craziest things about the universe, 19 signs the economy is worse, 20 most ridiculous looks from spring 2011 men's collections, Agnes Szavay, Al Capone, Ana Ivanovic, Anna Kournikova, Ari Emanuel, Ashley Harkleroad, Barry Diller, Ben Silverman, Business Insider, carlo gambino, Carmine Persico, Charles Keates, Electus, Fabrice Pasquinelli, Flavia Pennetta, Foxes Of Finance, Gregory Scarpa, Gus Lubin, Henry Blodget, Jason Mudrick, Jeff Altman, Jeff Weiner, Jill Kennedy, John Gotti, Joseph 'Joey Bananas' Bonanno, Joseph 'Joey' Massino, Josh Birnbaum, Josh Fink, Khan Manka, Manka Bros., Maria Kirilenko, Maria Sharapova, Mary Pierce, MIchael Platt, Nicolas Genechesi, Notional, OnMedea, Ricky Van Veen, Salvatore 'Sammy the Bull' Gravano, Sasha Talebi, Scott Steinman, Serena Williams, Slideshows, Ted Geary, top grossing animated movies, Tree Hugger, Trey Beck, Venus Williams, Vincent 'The Chin' Gigante, Vito Genovese, What Booze Looks LIke Under A Microscope, World's Largest Media Company, world's most expensive cities

 

What Booze Looks Like Under A Microscope

10 Slideshows You Must See Right Now, 10 Unbelievable Animal Friendships, 11 craziest things about the universe, 19 signs the economy is worse, 20 most ridiculous looks from spring 2011 men's collections, Agnes Szavay, Al Capone, Ana Ivanovic, Anna Kournikova, Ari Emanuel, Ashley Harkleroad, Barry Diller, Ben Silverman, Business Insider, carlo gambino, Carmine Persico, Charles Keates, Electus, Fabrice Pasquinelli, Flavia Pennetta, Foxes Of Finance, Gregory Scarpa, Gus Lubin, Henry Blodget, Jason Mudrick, Jeff Altman, Jeff Weiner, Jill Kennedy, John Gotti, Joseph 'Joey Bananas' Bonanno, Joseph 'Joey' Massino, Josh Birnbaum, Josh Fink, Khan Manka, Manka Bros., Maria Kirilenko, Maria Sharapova, Mary Pierce, MIchael Platt, Nicolas Genechesi, Notional, OnMedea, Ricky Van Veen, Salvatore 'Sammy the Bull' Gravano, Sasha Talebi, Scott Steinman, Serena Williams, Slideshows, Ted Geary, top grossing animated movies, Tree Hugger, Trey Beck, Venus Williams, Vincent 'The Chin' Gigante, Vito Genovese, What Booze Looks LIke Under A Microscope, World's Largest Media Company, world's most expensive cities 

Foxes Of Finance

10 Slideshows You Must See Right Now, 10 Unbelievable Animal Friendships, 11 craziest things about the universe, 19 signs the economy is worse, 20 most ridiculous looks from spring 2011 men's collections, Agnes Szavay, Al Capone, Ana Ivanovic, Anna Kournikova, Ari Emanuel, Ashley Harkleroad, Barry Diller, Ben Silverman, Business Insider, carlo gambino, Carmine Persico, Charles Keates, Electus, Fabrice Pasquinelli, Flavia Pennetta, Foxes Of Finance, Gregory Scarpa, Gus Lubin, Henry Blodget, Jason Mudrick, Jeff Altman, Jeff Weiner, Jill Kennedy, John Gotti, Joseph 'Joey Bananas' Bonanno, Joseph 'Joey' Massino, Josh Birnbaum, Josh Fink, Khan Manka, Manka Bros., Maria Kirilenko, Maria Sharapova, Mary Pierce, MIchael Platt, Nicolas Genechesi, Notional, OnMedea, Ricky Van Veen, Salvatore 'Sammy the Bull' Gravano, Sasha Talebi, Scott Steinman, Serena Williams, Slideshows, Ted Geary, top grossing animated movies, Tree Hugger, Trey Beck, Venus Williams, Vincent 'The Chin' Gigante, Vito Genovese, What Booze Looks LIke Under A Microscope, World's Largest Media Company, world's most expensive cities


11 Craziest Things About The Universe

10 Slideshows You Must See Right Now, 10 Unbelievable Animal Friendships, 11 craziest things about the universe, 19 signs the economy is worse, 20 most ridiculous looks from spring 2011 men's collections, Agnes Szavay, Al Capone, Ana Ivanovic, Anna Kournikova, Ari Emanuel, Ashley Harkleroad, Barry Diller, Ben Silverman, Business Insider, carlo gambino, Carmine Persico, Charles Keates, Electus, Fabrice Pasquinelli, Flavia Pennetta, Foxes Of Finance, Gregory Scarpa, Gus Lubin, Henry Blodget, Jason Mudrick, Jeff Altman, Jeff Weiner, Jill Kennedy, John Gotti, Joseph 'Joey Bananas' Bonanno, Joseph 'Joey' Massino, Josh Birnbaum, Josh Fink, Khan Manka, Manka Bros., Maria Kirilenko, Maria Sharapova, Mary Pierce, MIchael Platt, Nicolas Genechesi, Notional, OnMedea, Ricky Van Veen, Salvatore 'Sammy the Bull' Gravano, Sasha Talebi, Scott Steinman, Serena Williams, Slideshows, Ted Geary, top grossing animated movies, Tree Hugger, Trey Beck, Venus Williams, Vincent 'The Chin' Gigante, Vito Genovese, What Booze Looks LIke Under A Microscope, World's Largest Media Company, world's most expensive cities


Top 10 Best Tennis Bottoms

 

19 Signs The Economy Is Worse Now Than Ever In Your Lifetime

10 Slideshows You Must See Right Now, 10 Unbelievable Animal Friendships, 11 craziest things about the universe, 19 signs the economy is worse, 20 most ridiculous looks from spring 2011 men's collections, Agnes Szavay, Al Capone, Ana Ivanovic, Anna Kournikova, Ari Emanuel, Ashley Harkleroad, Barry Diller, Ben Silverman, Business Insider, carlo gambino, Carmine Persico, Charles Keates, Electus, Fabrice Pasquinelli, Flavia Pennetta, Foxes Of Finance, Gregory Scarpa, Gus Lubin, Henry Blodget, Jason Mudrick, Jeff Altman, Jeff Weiner, Jill Kennedy, John Gotti, Joseph 'Joey Bananas' Bonanno, Joseph 'Joey' Massino, Josh Birnbaum, Josh Fink, Khan Manka, Manka Bros., Maria Kirilenko, Maria Sharapova, Mary Pierce, MIchael Platt, Nicolas Genechesi, Notional, OnMedea, Ricky Van Veen, Salvatore 'Sammy the Bull' Gravano, Sasha Talebi, Scott Steinman, Serena Williams, Slideshows, Ted Geary, top grossing animated movies, Tree Hugger, Trey Beck, Venus Williams, Vincent 'The Chin' Gigante, Vito Genovese, What Booze Looks LIke Under A Microscope, World's Largest Media Company, world's most expensive cities

 

The 20 Most Ridiculous Looks From The Spring 2011 Men’s Collections

10 Slideshows You Must See Right Now, 10 Unbelievable Animal Friendships, 11 craziest things about the universe, 19 signs the economy is worse, 20 most ridiculous looks from spring 2011 men's collections, Agnes Szavay, Al Capone, Ana Ivanovic, Anna Kournikova, Ari Emanuel, Ashley Harkleroad, Barry Diller, Ben Silverman, Business Insider, carlo gambino, Carmine Persico, Charles Keates, Electus, Fabrice Pasquinelli, Flavia Pennetta, Foxes Of Finance, Gregory Scarpa, Gus Lubin, Henry Blodget, Jason Mudrick, Jeff Altman, Jeff Weiner, Jill Kennedy, John Gotti, Joseph 'Joey Bananas' Bonanno, Joseph 'Joey' Massino, Josh Birnbaum, Josh Fink, Khan Manka, Manka Bros., Maria Kirilenko, Maria Sharapova, Mary Pierce, MIchael Platt, Nicolas Genechesi, Notional, OnMedea, Ricky Van Veen, Salvatore 'Sammy the Bull' Gravano, Sasha Talebi, Scott Steinman, Serena Williams, Slideshows, Ted Geary, top grossing animated movies, Tree Hugger, Trey Beck, Venus Williams, Vincent 'The Chin' Gigante, Vito Genovese, What Booze Looks LIke Under A Microscope, World's Largest Media Company, world's most expensive cities

 

Top Grossing Animated Movies Of All Time

10 Slideshows You Must See Right Now, 10 Unbelievable Animal Friendships, 11 craziest things about the universe, 19 signs the economy is worse, 20 most ridiculous looks from spring 2011 men's collections, Agnes Szavay, Al Capone, Ana Ivanovic, Anna Kournikova, Ari Emanuel, Ashley Harkleroad, Barry Diller, Ben Silverman, Business Insider, carlo gambino, Carmine Persico, Charles Keates, Electus, Fabrice Pasquinelli, Flavia Pennetta, Foxes Of Finance, Gregory Scarpa, Gus Lubin, Henry Blodget, Jason Mudrick, Jeff Altman, Jeff Weiner, Jill Kennedy, John Gotti, Joseph 'Joey Bananas' Bonanno, Joseph 'Joey' Massino, Josh Birnbaum, Josh Fink, Khan Manka, Manka Bros., Maria Kirilenko, Maria Sharapova, Mary Pierce, MIchael Platt, Nicolas Genechesi, Notional, OnMedea, Ricky Van Veen, Salvatore 'Sammy the Bull' Gravano, Sasha Talebi, Scott Steinman, Serena Williams, Slideshows, Ted Geary, top grossing animated movies, Tree Hugger, Trey Beck, Venus Williams, Vincent 'The Chin' Gigante, Vito Genovese, What Booze Looks LIke Under A Microscope, World's Largest Media Company, world's most expensive cities

 

Top 10 Mobsters

10 Slideshows You Must See Right Now, 10 Unbelievable Animal Friendships, 11 craziest things about the universe, 19 signs the economy is worse, 20 most ridiculous looks from spring 2011 men's collections, Agnes Szavay, Al Capone, Ana Ivanovic, Anna Kournikova, Ari Emanuel, Ashley Harkleroad, Barry Diller, Ben Silverman, Business Insider, carlo gambino, Carmine Persico, Charles Keates, Electus, Fabrice Pasquinelli, Flavia Pennetta, Foxes Of Finance, Gregory Scarpa, Gus Lubin, Henry Blodget, Jason Mudrick, Jeff Altman, Jeff Weiner, Jill Kennedy, John Gotti, Joseph 'Joey Bananas' Bonanno, Joseph 'Joey' Massino, Josh Birnbaum, Josh Fink, Khan Manka, Manka Bros., Maria Kirilenko, Maria Sharapova, Mary Pierce, MIchael Platt, Nicolas Genechesi, Notional, OnMedea, Ricky Van Veen, Salvatore 'Sammy the Bull' Gravano, Sasha Talebi, Scott Steinman, Serena Williams, Slideshows, Ted Geary, top grossing animated movies, Tree Hugger, Trey Beck, Venus Williams, Vincent 'The Chin' Gigante, Vito Genovese, What Booze Looks LIke Under A Microscope, World's Largest Media Company, world's most expensive cities

And no Slideshow list is complete without the almost daily CNBC offering of WORLD’S MOST EXPENSIVE PLACES TO LIVE.

World’s Most Expensive Places To Live

10 Slideshows You Must See Right Now, 10 Unbelievable Animal Friendships, 11 craziest things about the universe, 19 signs the economy is worse, 20 most ridiculous looks from spring 2011 men's collections, Agnes Szavay, Al Capone, Ana Ivanovic, Anna Kournikova, Ari Emanuel, Ashley Harkleroad, Barry Diller, Ben Silverman, Business Insider, carlo gambino, Carmine Persico, Charles Keates, Electus, Fabrice Pasquinelli, Flavia Pennetta, Foxes Of Finance, Gregory Scarpa, Gus Lubin, Henry Blodget, Jason Mudrick, Jeff Altman, Jeff Weiner, Jill Kennedy, John Gotti, Joseph 'Joey Bananas' Bonanno, Joseph 'Joey' Massino, Josh Birnbaum, Josh Fink, Khan Manka, Manka Bros., Maria Kirilenko, Maria Sharapova, Mary Pierce, MIchael Platt, Nicolas Genechesi, Notional, OnMedea, Ricky Van Veen, Salvatore 'Sammy the Bull' Gravano, Sasha Talebi, Scott Steinman, Serena Williams, Slideshows, Ted Geary, top grossing animated movies, Tree Hugger, Trey Beck, Venus Williams, Vincent 'The Chin' Gigante, Vito Genovese, What Booze Looks LIke Under A Microscope, World's Largest Media Company, world's most expensive cities

And the irony is, this will be my most popular blog to date.  Perhaps I should ignore my own comment above and get into the Slideshow racket.  My first one would be Top 10 Negative Ben Silverman Blogs – all of them coming from me.

Accel Partners, Ben Silverman, Bob Iger, Chris Hughes, David Kirkpatrick, Dustin Moskovitz, Eduardo Saverin, Gerald Levin, Greylock Partners, HBO, Jeff Bewkes, Jeff Zucker, Jill Kennedy, Joanna Shields, Jon Miller, Khan Manka, Li Ka-shing, Manka Bros., Mark Cuban, Mark Zuckerberg, Matt Cohler, MySpace, Nicolas Carlson, OnMedea, Owen Van Natta, Paul Buchheit, Peter Thiel, Rupert Murdoch, Sheryl Sandberg, Sumner Redstone, Toy Story 3Jill Kennedy – OnMedea

TBS Gets It Right

Andrew Heller, Angela Bromstad, Ari Emanuel, Barbro Holmberg, Barry Diller, Ben Silverman, Brian Roberts, Charlie Rose, Conan O'Brien, David Letterman, David Levy, Dawn Ostroff, Deborah Wright, Frank Caufield, Fred Hassan, GE shareholder, George Lopez, Greg D'Alba, Jack Wakshlag, james Barksdale, Jay Leno, Jay Leno has Failed, Jeff Gaspin, Jeff Weiner, Jeff Zucker, Jeffrey Immelt, jessica Einhorn, Jill Kennedy, Jim McCaffrey, Jim Walton, Jimmy Fallon, Jimmy Kimmel, John Ferriter, John Kampfe, Jon Stewart, Josefin Lonnborg, Kelly Regal, Kenneth Novack, Khan Manka, Les Moonves, Louise Sams, mama's family, Manka Bros., Marc Graboff, Mark Steinberg, Mathias Dopfner, Michael Miles, Nancy Tellum, OnMedea, Paul Telegdy, Peter Roth, Phil Kent, Robert Clark, Scott Teissler, Sharon Waxman, Stephen Bollenbach, Stephen Colbert, Steven Koonin, Stuart Snyder, TCA Winter Press Tour, Terry Semel, The Office, Tony DiSanto, Vicky Lawrence, William Barr, William Morris Endeavor

Andrew Heller, Angela Bromstad, Ari Emanuel, Barbro Holmberg, Barry Diller, Ben Silverman, Brian Roberts, Charlie Rose, Conan O'Brien, David Letterman, David Levy, Dawn Ostroff, Deborah Wright, Frank Caufield, Fred Hassan, GE shareholder, George Lopez, Greg D'Alba, Jack Wakshlag, james Barksdale, Jay Leno, Jay Leno has Failed, Jeff Gaspin, Jeff Weiner, Jeff Zucker, Jeffrey Immelt, jessica Einhorn, Jill Kennedy, Jim McCaffrey, Jim Walton, Jimmy Fallon, Jimmy Kimmel, John Ferriter, John Kampfe, Jon Stewart, Josefin Lonnborg, Kelly Regal, Kenneth Novack, Khan Manka, Les Moonves, Louise Sams, mama's family, Manka Bros., Marc Graboff, Mark Steinberg, Mathias Dopfner, Michael Miles, Nancy Tellum, OnMedea, Paul Telegdy, Peter Roth, Phil Kent, Robert Clark, Scott Teissler, Sharon Waxman, Stephen Bollenbach, Stephen Colbert, Steven Koonin, Stuart Snyder, TCA Winter Press Tour, Terry Semel, The Office, Tony DiSanto, Vicky Lawrence, William Barr, William Morris EndeavorSo… Conan O’Brien has decided to go to TBS.  Like him or not, get his comedy or not, Conan immediately brings a “hip” factor to TBS where it currently has none.  Whether that will be enough to truly take the network to another level is a huge unknown at this point.

I have a feeling this announcement has taken the wind out of the sails of the “I’m With Coco” movement.  For some reason, I think they wanted him to stay off TV and start some crazy live streaming Internet-only revolution from a shack in the desert.  Sorry freaks.  Perhaps you can steal your basic cable feed and still feel like a revolutionary.

This is a big bet for TBS but one it can certainly afford to take.  Two revenue streams RULE! If it doesn’t work, they can always move “Lopez Tonight” (with its 1.0 rating) back to 11pm and put the always profitable “Ab Roller Deluxe” informercial on at midnight.

The biggest obstacle is the fact that TBS still feels (to me – and I’m not alone) like a network that airs nothing but Mama’s Family” reruns and very low quality VHS tapes of 1980s comedies.  I know this isn’t the case anymore and they actually do have some solid programming with “The Office” and “Family Guy” reruns, etc. and have had some success in original programming with all those Tyler Perry shows (What, are there 10 series now?  All with 350 episode commitments?).

Andrew Heller, Angela Bromstad, Ari Emanuel, Barbro Holmberg, Barry Diller, Ben Silverman, Brian Roberts, Charlie Rose, Conan O'Brien, David Letterman, David Levy, Dawn Ostroff, Deborah Wright, Frank Caufield, Fred Hassan, GE shareholder, George Lopez, Greg D'Alba, Jack Wakshlag, james Barksdale, Jay Leno, Jay Leno has Failed, Jeff Gaspin, Jeff Weiner, Jeff Zucker, Jeffrey Immelt, jessica Einhorn, Jill Kennedy, Jim McCaffrey, Jim Walton, Jimmy Fallon, Jimmy Kimmel, John Ferriter, John Kampfe, Jon Stewart, Josefin Lonnborg, Kelly Regal, Kenneth Novack, Khan Manka, Les Moonves, Louise Sams, mama's family, Manka Bros., Marc Graboff, Mark Steinberg, Mathias Dopfner, Michael Miles, Nancy Tellum, OnMedea, Paul Telegdy, Peter Roth, Phil Kent, Robert Clark, Scott Teissler, Sharon Waxman, Stephen Bollenbach, Stephen Colbert, Steven Koonin, Stuart Snyder, TCA Winter Press Tour, Terry Semel, The Office, Tony DiSanto, Vicky Lawrence, William Barr, William Morris EndeavorBut adding Conan puts TBS on a different level – a network level with a big advantage – they don’t need Leno-size ratings to call it a “hit”.

Imagine the spinmeisters at Turner the day after its debut:  “Late Night Cable Talk Show’s Biggest Night Ever!”; “Conan Conquers Cable!”; “The Colbert Killer!”“2.0 in Metered Markets – 18-49”… Okay, they won’t put that one in the Trades but that’s about what we can expect on the high end.  If a 2.0 late night rating is worth a $100 million investment, then TBS has made the right move.

Personally, I think it IS the right move – if anything just to improve their image.  All the other shit that’s on TBS will suddenly be given a second look which may make people slow down the remote as they’re passing by on their way to USA or FX.

For Conan, I think this is also the best move.  Though if he ultimately fails on TBS, his career is over (unless he is willing to take the 1:30a.m. Last Call slot from what’s his name – that guy that dated Tara Reid).  Not going to Fox and being beaten badly by Jay Leno was a very smart move by Conan.  And a very smart move by Fox – which doesn’t have two revenue streams (yet) and, thus, doesn’t have money to burn.

So… good luck, Conan.  You have made a good match.  And I can’t wait to hear all those jokes you’ll make about what a crappy network TBS is.  The crappy network that is paying you $100 million dollars.

Accel Partners, Ben Silverman, Bob Iger, Chris Hughes, David Kirkpatrick, Dustin Moskovitz, Eduardo Saverin, Gerald Levin, Greylock Partners, HBO, Jeff Bewkes, Jeff Zucker, Jill Kennedy, Joanna Shields, Jon Miller, Khan Manka, Li Ka-shing, Manka Bros., Mark Cuban, Mark Zuckerberg, Matt Cohler, MySpace, Nicolas Carlson, OnMedea, Owen Van Natta, Paul Buchheit, Peter Thiel, Rupert Murdoch, Sheryl Sandberg, Sumner Redstone, Toy Story 3Jill Kennedy – OnMedea